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JDK's avatar

Thank you. Dr. Jørgensen essay was thoughtful treatment of issue.‬

‪Humans are not innately equipped to make sense of mortality risks w/ low incidence.‬

‪Fig.2 20-24 yro. Imagine urns of beads‬ 2005 (2 red of 10 000 000) & for 2015 (15 red of 10 mil).‬

‪How‬ many draws would you need to make to tell difference between urns?

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Maximum Liberty's avatar

I’m just here to say that mammography does not catch invasive lobular breast cancer, which is something under 1/6 of breast cancer. So if you feel a lump or a mass, get an ultrasound. Do it immediately. ILC tends to make strands that evade detection by mammography until it suddenly forms a mass, which can be large by that point. If this describes you, call your doctor today!

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