I thought Surprise Theory is G. L. S. Shackle beginning in the 30s.
sciencedirect.com/scien…
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162516300671
Thanks for the cite but I am discussing surprisals as found in information theory, not surprise theory - see my post below for "more sophisticated treatments" of surprisal interpretations for P-values and CIs.
For your security, we need to re-authenticate you.
Click the link we sent to , or click here to sign in.
I thought Surprise Theory is G. L. S. Shackle beginning in the 30s.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162516300671
Thanks for the cite but I am discussing surprisals as found in information theory, not surprise theory - see my post below for "more sophisticated treatments" of surprisal interpretations for P-values and CIs.